Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.019370 0.021264 0.023169 0.025222 0.027370 0.029547 0.031914
2025-06-22 0.015429 0.018349 0.021403 0.024815 0.028501 0.032344 0.036637
2025-06-29 0.012895 0.016329 0.020031 0.024275 0.028961 0.033939 0.039592
2025-07-06 0.010608 0.014312 0.018427 0.023256 0.028696 0.034571 0.041337
2025-07-13 0.009541 0.013555 0.018121 0.023579 0.029817 0.036635 0.044564
2025-07-20 0.008407 0.012611 0.017510 0.023472 0.030384 0.038023 0.046989
2025-07-27 0.007397 0.011728 0.016898 0.023300 0.030821 0.039218 0.049155
2025-08-03 0.006882 0.011412 0.016926 0.023845 0.032055 0.041291 0.052287
2025-08-10 0.006086 0.010675 0.016391 0.023678 0.032425 0.042350 0.054246
2025-08-17 0.005342 0.009943 0.015818 0.023426 0.032664 0.043231 0.055980
2025-08-24 0.004751 0.009374 0.015414 0.023351 0.033086 0.044306 0.057918
2025-08-31 0.004170 0.008768 0.014928 0.023145 0.033329 0.045151 0.059575
2025-09-07 0.003681 0.008292 0.014630 0.023216 0.033966 0.046536 0.061955
2025-09-14 0.003078 0.007594 0.014011 0.022868 0.034095 0.047335 0.063677
2025-09-21 0.002498 0.006858 0.013289 0.022347 0.033977 0.047812 0.064998
2025-09-28 0.001872 0.005947 0.012259 0.021373 0.033257 0.047537 0.065408
2025-10-05 0.001654 0.005724 0.012203 0.021682 0.034139 0.049187 0.068088
2025-10-12 0.001365 0.005324 0.011857 0.021580 0.034486 0.050176 0.069975
2025-10-19 0.001101 0.004921 0.011480 0.021415 0.034738 0.051039 0.071702
2025-10-26 0.000999 0.004846 0.011602 0.021937 0.035872 0.052981 0.074721
2025-11-02 0.000788 0.004483 0.011248 0.021777 0.036110 0.053812 0.076399
2025-11-09 0.000597 0.004110 0.010851 0.021536 0.036229 0.054488 0.077882
2025-11-16 0.000458 0.003826 0.010581 0.021464 0.036561 0.055419 0.079668